Drought Severity and its Effect on Agricultural Production in the Hungarian-Serbian Cross-Border Area

Main Article Content

Károly Fiala
Viktória Blanka
Zsuzsanna Ladányi
Péter Szilassi
Balázs Benyhe
Dragan Dolinaj
Imre Pálfai

Abstract

Several environmental and economic consequences of drought and the accompanying water shortage were observed in the plain area of the Carpathian Basin in the last decades. This area is mostly used for agriculture, thus it is a key problem in the future to maintain food safety in the changing circumstances. Therefore, involvement and identification of areas affected by drought hazard and revealing steps of efficient adaptation are of high importance. In this study influence of drought severity on agricultural production is investigated in the Hungarian-Serbian cross-border area. The tendency in drought severity was analysed by PaDI and MAI drought indices. The effect of drought on agricultural production is evaluated on maize yield data as the most drought sensitive crop in the region. Increasing drought frequency and severity was indicated for the study area for the period of 1961-2012. The spatial assessment of annual PaDI maps revealed the higher exposure of the north and northeastern part of the study area to drought, where drought frequency was also experienced to be the highest. Increased sensitivity was detected based on maize yield loss after the early 1990s and annual yields were in strong connection with d rought severity. In spite of the technological development of agriculture, environmental factors still substantially affect crop yie lds. The observed unfavourable changes in the region mean that water management and spatial planning faces conceptual challenges to prevent and mitigate the damages of drought.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Article Details

How to Cite
Fiala, Károly, Viktória Blanka, Zsuzsanna Ladányi, Péter Szilassi, Balázs Benyhe, Dragan Dolinaj, and Imre Pálfai. 2014. “Drought Severity and Its Effect on Agricultural Production in the Hungarian-Serbian Cross-Border Area”. Journal of Environmental Geography 7 (3-4):43-51. https://doi.org/10.2478/jengeo-2014-0011.
Section
Articles

Funding data

References

Banski, J, Bednarek-Szczepańska, M. , Ł. Czapiewski, K., Mazur, M. 2010. Perspectives for agriculture of Vojvodina in the light of scenarios and models elaborated in the framework of the research projects of the European Union. Project Report prepared for Centre for Strategic Economic Studies “Vojvodina-CESS. Warsaw, 2010. Online at: https://www.igipz.pan.pl/tl_files/igipz/ZGWiRL/Projekty/Raport_Vojvodina.pdf

Bartholy, J., Pongrácz, R. 2005. Tendencies of extreme climate indices based on daily precipitation in the Carpathian Basin for the 20th century. Időjárás 109, 1-20.

Bartholy, J, Pongrácz, R., Barcza, Z., Haszpra, L., Gelybó, Gy., Kern, A., Hidy, D., Torma, Cs., Hunyady, A., Kardos, P. 2007. A klímaváltozás regionális hatásai: a jelenlegi állapot és a várható tendenciák. Földrajzi közlemények 131/4, 257-269.

Beierkuhnlein, C., Thiel, D., Jentsch, A., Willner, E., Kreyling, J. 2011. Ecotypes of European grass species respond differently to warming and extreme drought. Journal of Ecology 99, 703-713. DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-2745.2011.01809.x

Bihari, Z., Lakato,s M., Mika, J., Szalai, S., Szentimrey ,T. 2006. Hazánk éghajlatának néhány jellemzője az 1956-2005 időszakban, kitekintéssel a globális tendenciákra. In: „50 éves a Légkör” Légkör 51, különszám 24-28.

Biró, M., Révész, Á., Molnár, Zs., Horváth, F., Czúcz, B. 2008. Regional habitat pattern of the Danube-Tisza Interfluve in Hungary II The sand, the steppe and the riverine vegetation, degraded and regenerating habitats, regional habitat destruction. Acta Botanica Hungarica 50/1-2, 19-60. DOI: 10.1556/abot.50.2008.1-2.2

Blanka ,V., Ladányi, Zs., Mezősi, G. 2014. Climate change in the 21th century. In. Blanka V, Ladányi Zs. (Eds.) Drought and Water Management in South Hungary and Vojvodina. Szegedi Tudományegyetem, Természeti Földrajzi és Geoinformatikai Tanszék, Szeged, 152-157.

Csizmadia K. (1992). Országos vízrendezési, -hasznosítási és társulati szakágazatiértekezlet. Vízpart 1 (12), 1.

Gocić, M., Trajković, S. 2013. Analysis of precipitation and droguht data in Serbia over the period 1980-2010. Journal of Hydrology 494, 32-42. DOI: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2013.04.044

Gocic, M., Trajkovic, S. 2014. Spatio-temporal patterns of precipitation in Serbia. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 117/3-4, 419-431. DOI: 10.1007/s00704-013-1017-7

Hargreaves, G.H. 1975. Water requirements manual for irrigated crops and rainfed agriculture. Agricultural and Irrigation Engineering, Utah State University, Logan, Utah, 1-44.

Hargreaves, G., Keller, A. 2005. Global Mapping of the Moisture Availability Index: Using the World Water and Climate Atlas. Impacts of Global Climate Change, 1-9. DOI: 10.1061/40792(173)533

Kerpely, K., Tripolszky, S. 2013. Változó Vizeken - Vállalatok vízfüggősége és felelős vízhasználata. WWF Hungary. Online at: http://www.wwf.hu/media/file/1369810200_Felelos_vallalati_vizgazdalkodas.pdf

Ladányi, Zs., Rakonczai, J., Kovács, F., Geiger, J. , Deák, J. Á. 2009. The Effect of Recent Climatic Change on the Great Hungarian Plain. Cereal Research Communications 37 Suppl. 4, 477-480.

Ladányi Zs., Deák J. Á., Rakonczai, J. 2010. The effect of aridification on dry and wet habitats of Illancs microregion, SW Great Hungarian Plain, Hungary. AGD Landscape & Environment 4 (1), 11-22.

Láng, I., Csete, L., Jolánkai, M. 2007. A globális klímaváltozás - hazai hatások és válaszok - A VAHAVA jelentés. Szaktudás Kiadó Ház Rt., 2007

Lei, Y.D., Wang J.A., Luo L.L. 2011. Drought risk assessment of China’s mid-season paddy. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 2 (2), 32-40.

Lin, Y.Z., Deng, X.Z., Jin, Q. 2013. Economic effects of drought on agriculture in North China. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 4 (2), 59-67. DOI: 10.1007/s13753-013-0007-9

Major, P., Neppel, F. 1988. A Duna-Tisza közi talajvízszint süllyedések. Vízügyi Közlemények 70/4, 605-626.

Maracchi, G. 2000. Agricultural drought - A practical approach to definition, assessment and mitigation strategies. In Vogt J.V., Somma F (ed.) Drought and drought mitigation in Europe. Advances in natural and technological hazards research 14, 63-78. DOI: 10.1007/978-94-015-9472-1_5

Mátyás, Cs. 2010. Forecasts needed for retreating forests. Nature 464/ 7293, 1271. DOI: 10.1038/4641271a

Mészáros, M., Pavić, D., Stankov, U. (2013). The social aspects of drought in Vojvodina (Serbia). Opening conference of WAHASTRAT, 14 June 2013, Szeged, oral presentation.

Molnár, Zs, Bölöni, J., Horváth, F. 2008. Threatening factors encountered: actual endangerment of the Hungarian (semi-) natural habitats. Acta Botanica Hungarica 50 (Suppl), 199-217. DOI: 10.1556/abot.50.2008.suppl.10

Normand, S., Svenning, JC., Skov, F. 2007. National and European perspectives on climate change sensitivity of the Habitats Directive characteristic plant species. Journal for Nature Conservation 15, 41-53. DOI: 10.1016/j.jnc.2006.09.001

OMSZ (2014): Országos Meteorológiai Szolgálat http://www.met.hu/en/eghajlat/magyarorszag_eghajlata

Pálfai, I., Herceg, Á. 2011. Droughtness of Hungary and Balkan Peninsula. Riscuri si Catastrofe, An X 9/2 145-154.

Parmesan, C., Yohe, G. 2003. A globally coherent fingerprint of climate change Impacts across natural systems. Nature 421, 37-42. DOI: 10.1038/nature01286

Pitchford, J.L., Wu, C., Lin, L.S., Petty, J.T., Thomas, R., Veselka, W.E., Welsch, D., Zegre, N., Anderson, J.T. 2012. Climate Change Effects on Hydrology and Ecology of Wetlands in the Mid-Atlantic Highlands Wetlands 32/1, 21-33. DOI: 10.1007/s13157-011-0259-3

Poiani, KA, Johnson, CW, Kittel, TGF 1995. Sensitivity of Prairie Wetland to Increased Temperature and Seasonal Precipitation Changes. Water Resources Bulletin 31, 283-294. DOI: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.1995.tb03380.x

Popov. S., Frank. A. (2013). Challenges of drought monitoring and risk assessment in Serbia. Opening conference of WAHASTRAT, 14 June 2013, Szeged, oral presentation.

Puskás, I., Gál, N., Farsang, A. 2012. Impact of weather extremities (excess water, drought) caused by climate change onsoils in Hungarian Great Plain (SE Hungary). In: Rakonczai J. , Ladányi Zs. (eds) Review of climate change research program at the University of Szeged,73-89

Rakonczai, J., Ladányi, Zs., Deák, JÁ., Fehér, Zs. 2012. Indicators of climate change in the landscape: investigation of the soil- groundwater-vegetation connection system in the Great Hungarian Plain. In: Rakonczai J, LadányiZs (Ed) Review of climate change research program at the University of Szeged (2010-2012). Institute of Geography and Geology, Szeged, 41-59

Rátky. P. 1992. Mezőgazdasági vízhasznosítás. Tavalyi mérleg. Vízpart 1 (2), 3.

Smailagic, J, Savovic, A, Markovic, D, Nesic, D. 2013. Climate characteristics of Serbia. Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia.

Svoboda, M., D. Le Comte, M., Hayes, R. Heim, K. Gleason, J. Angel, B. Rippey, R. Tinker, et al. 2002. The drought monitor. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 83, 1181-1190. DOI: 10.1175/1520-0477(2002)083<1181:tdm>2.3.co;2

Szalai, S. 2009. Drought tendencies in Hungary and its impacts on the agricultural production, Cereal Research Communications 37: 501-504.

Szalai, J. 2011. Talajvízszint-változások az Alföldön. In: Rakonczai J. (ed.) Környezeti változások és az Alföld. Nagyalföld Alapítvány kötetei 7, 97-110.

Warrick, R.A., Trainer P.B., Baker E.J., Brinkman W. 1975. Drought hazard in the United States: A research assessment. NSF program on technology, environment and man monograph. Institute of Behavioral Science, University of Colorado.

Winter, T.C. 2000. The vulnerability of wetlands to climate change: a hydrologic landscape perspective. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 36, 305-311. DOI: 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2000.tb04269.x

Wisner, B., Blaikie, P., Cannon, T., Davis I. 2004. At Risk: Natural Hazards, People's Vulnerability and Disasters. London, Routledge p. 124.

Ye, T., P.J. Shi, J.A. Wang, L. Liu, Y. Fan, and J. Hu. 2012. China’s drought disaster risk management: Perspective of severe droughts in 2009-2010. International Journal of Disaster Risk Science 3/2, 84-97. DOI: 10.1007/s13753-012-0009-z

Zeng, N. 2003. Drought in the Sahel. Science 302/5647, 999-1000. DOI: 10.1126/science.1090849